Psychology of Intelligence Analysis

Psychology of Intelligence Analysis With intelligence now getting a front row seat in governments around the world this book is especially timely Intelligence rains in but without an understanding of the nature of the intelligence it

  • Title: Psychology of Intelligence Analysis
  • Author: Richards J. Heuer Jr.
  • ISBN: 9781594546792
  • Page: 155
  • Format: Paperback
  • With intelligence now getting a front row seat in governments around the world, this book is especially timely Intelligence rains in, but without an understanding of the nature of the intelligence, it accumulates in puddles of obscurity The problems therefore seem to be how to obtain it, how to understand it, and how to sell it to one s bosses This book deals with how tWith intelligence now getting a front row seat in governments around the world, this book is especially timely Intelligence rains in, but without an understanding of the nature of the intelligence, it accumulates in puddles of obscurity The problems therefore seem to be how to obtain it, how to understand it, and how to sell it to one s bosses This book deals with how to understand it Three fundamental points are at the heart of this presentation about the cognitive challenges intelligence analysts face The mind is poorly wired to deal effectively with both inherent uncertainty the natural fog surrounding complex, indeterminate intelligence issues and induced uncertainty the man made fog fabricated by denial and deception operations Even increased awareness of cognitive and other unmotivated biases, such as the tendency to see information confirming an already held judgement vividly than one sees disconfirming information, does little by itself to help analysts deal effectively with uncertainty critical thinking can substantially improve analysis on complex issues on which information is incomplete, ambiguous, and often deliberately distorted Key examples of such intellectual devices include techniques for structuring information, challenging assumptions, and exploring alternative interpretations This book was first issued by the CIA.

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      Published :2019-09-22T17:44:34+00:00

    About "Richards J. Heuer Jr."

    1. Richards J. Heuer Jr.

      Richards J. Heuer Jr. Is a well-known author, some of his books are a fascination for readers like in the Psychology of Intelligence Analysis book, this is one of the most wanted Richards J. Heuer Jr. author readers around the world.

    462 thoughts on “Psychology of Intelligence Analysis”

    1. The definitive book on the subject. Even if you are not an intelligence analyst, this should be on your reading list.


    2. An in-depth analysis of neurological premises for data analysis and misanalysis.Q:PART I--OUR MENTAL MACHINERYChapter 1: Thinking About ThinkingChapter 2: Perception: Why Can't We See What Is There to Be Seen?Chapter 3: Memory: How Do We Remember What We Know?PART II--TOOLS FOR THINKINGChapter 4: Strategies for Analytical Judgment: Transcending the Limits of Incomplete InformationChapter 5: Do You Really Need More Information?Chapter 6: Keeping an Open MindChapter 7: Structuring Analytical Probl [...]


    3. This book summarized the basic neuroscientific structure of memory and decision-making with emphasis on the potential biases and blind spots created by cognitive deficiencies as well as sub-optimal mental models. Later parts also touched upon the organizational structure to foster an environment where intelligence analysts may be encouraged to have unbiased analysis without undue internal or external motivation to avoid career risk or group-think. The writing style is succinct and largely consis [...]


    4. Easy to read and very thought provoking. Lots of the behavioural biases discussed are well understood but few books put them into a practical framework like this.


    5. An excellent discussion of how mental models influence individual analyses along with recommendations for overcoming them and reducing their influences. IT is well supported by examples and summaries of experiments from many different fields.


    6. This is a very good book about the difficulties associated with acccurate intelligence gathering and analysis. The book was a textbook for training CIA agents.


    7. This is a good tool for the beginning intelligence professional regardless of speciality. It is also good for more experienced professionals to read as a refresher.


    8. A long, wordy, yet necessary read for anyone who wishes to pursue any further into the study of "Intelligence analysis".



    9. Heuer examins the psychology of intelligence analysis to a new generation of intelligence practitioners and scholars. Heuer presents many ideas on improving intelligence collecting in three parts: our mental machinery, tools for thinking, and cognitive basis. Heuer's central message is summarized in chapter four: "intelligence analysts should be self-conscious about their reasoning processes. They should think about how they make judgments and reach conclusions, not just about the judgments and [...]


    10. Interesting application of cognitive psychology and decision analysis in intelligence analysis. Also this book illustrates how often biases and faulty information ruin analysis reports. The way these methods are employed and reflected upon are - I think - of interest even for analyst in other areas - such as business. You can find further references into various areas such as cognitive psychology, statistics, politics, and intelligence. Unfortunately, the use of Bayesian statistics is just menti [...]



    11. Brilliant, insightful, eminently foundational. If your career or daily routine at all involved evaluating information and/or generating ideas, this is essential.




    12. Excellent book that provides an overview of the heuristics and biases that govern our ability to analyze information. Discusses possible effects on decision making and how we can set up systematic structures to minimize the effect of these biases on on judgments and decisions. One of the more interesting ideas from the book is that gathering more and more information does not necessarily lead to making better decisions (i.e. higher quality analysis). The author discusses an experiment with Horse [...]


    13. So I initially started reading this book because I thought it was a prerequisite for a class I currently attending. I later found out I only had to read the first two chapters, but by the time they told me that, I was over half way done with the book, so I finished it. I will first caveat that this book is very dry and boring. However, with that previous caveat, there is a ton of great information for any analyst out there. It is written for intelligence professionals, but if you strip away the [...]


    14. This was a fascinating book that discusses how our brains process information, and how we think about problems. Although this was written by an intelligence professional for intelligence professionals, I believe the critical thinking lessons here are fairly universal. Make no mistake; this is not a spy book. You will not learn much about the inner workings of our intelligence community. Nor will you learn any scandalous inside stories about major headline events. This is more about analytic thou [...]


    15. Vynikající knížka. Relativně útlá, strukturovaná a hlavně dávající do souvislosti teorii a praxi. Jak provádět analýzu, jak pracovat s lidskými limity, jak minimalizovat dopad nejistoty a předsudků. Pokud chcete pracovat s informacema, dělat analýzy a predikce a hledáte vstupní text, můžu jen doporučit. A je to i legálně zdarma ke stažení: cia/library/center-fo


    16. Prachtig boek dat mij aangeraden is door een liefhebber van mijn podcast.Het is bedoeld voor mensen van inlichtingendiensten om beter om te gaan met informatie en analyseren van politieke situaties in andere landen, maar de technieken en inzichten zijn absoluut algemeen geldig voor iedereen die zijn analytisch vermogen op het werk of in het algemene leven wilt verhogen.


    17. A catalogue of how mental biases and common psychological traits influence intelligence assessment and deduction. Written for the tradecraft set but applicable to business or even personal applications; especially in a world where our non intentional exposure to data and information designed to influence our opinions and beliefs has become more prevalent.


    18. Intriguing treatise on analytical thinking from a CIA analyst's perspective. Recommended for anybody who has to do some sort of analysis at work(even if it doesn't include trying to conclude whether a heterogeneous democratic nation is about to become a nuclear power or not)






    19. It was surprising to know that I had some of the bias described in the book. A must read for anyone in the business of analysing data/ events.


    20. "Predictably Irrational" for intelligence analysts! Should be required reading for all who deal with intelligence!



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